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Our tipster Jones Knows looks at the Premier League card.
Bournemouth vs West Ham, Sunday 2pm
Tipping Dominic Solanke to score a hat-trick at 300/1 against Tottenham, imagine my excitement when my mate texted me saying “Come in. Solanke three goals.. …. .involvements.” Two assists and a goal for the Bournemouth striker is good enough though with 9/2 for him to score the landing as one of the best bets of the weekend.
Enough trumpet blowing – what’s the angle here?
I fully expect David Moyes to respect Bournemouth on their own patch and play with the usual security and lack of danger – something that led them to a 1-0 victory at Fulham. That should give Gary O’Neill’s team plenty of territory and attacking opportunities to exploit, so I’ll be in the market for shots.
Matias Vina was a surprise starter for Bournemouth at Spurs but he looks very comfortable playing with more freedom in a left-back role with Lloyd Kelly providing defensive support. Vina got on the scoresheet in the 3-2 win and he looks overpriced at 7/2 with Sky Bet to record two shots against the Hammers.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Newcastle v Tottenham, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
It will take a fully-functioning, collective performance to win at St James’ Park against this Newcastle United side.
Eddie Howe’s side have only tasted defeat twice in 22 home games – both at Liverpool. I’d be surprised if Tottenham have the cohesion, confidence and power in midfield to keep their top-four hopes alive, especially with Newcastle likely a wounded animal after their worst performance of the season at Villa Park.
Tottenham have also lost six of their seven Premier League games against the current top six teams this season and the momentum came after their 3-2 defeat at Bournemouth.
So, the Toon rate as the likely winners at 4/5 with Sky Bet – but there is a way to raise the price to squeeze more juice.
In 11 games against the traditional ‘big six’ and Brighton this season, Newcastle’s games have averaged just 1.9 total goals per 90 with eight of those falling below the 2.5 goals line. and three of those games ended 0-0. At their best, Newcastle play with a lot of control and don’t usually want to get involved in high-scoring games. They may be in ‘job done’ mode for this one with a huge Champions League football prize in sight.
Adding under 2.5 goals to a Newcastle win takes the price to 7/2 with Sky Bet.