News
Tuesday 12 March 2024 6:51 pm
By:
Invoice Esdaile
Invoice Esdaile is Metropolis A.M. racing editor and managing director of Sq. in the Air.
FOR MANY, this present day’s feature, the Queen Mother Champion Lag (3.30pm), is a rematch between final one year’s Arkle 1-2, El Fabiolo and Jonbon.
The head-to-head assemble between the two can’t split them at one secure apiece, but most smartly-liked assemble makes El Fabiolo the one to beat, and that’s reflected in his mark of valid 1/2.
Jonbon needs to catch amends for a shock defeat at odds of 1/4 final day outing, and his most smartly-liked mark of 4/1 appears to be like to be about gorgeous.
El Fabiolo is a splendid six from six over fences, together with beating Jonbon in the Arkle one year in the past, and if he reproduces his lag from the Dublin Lag final month then he’ll be a truly difficult horse to beat.
Backing him at odds-on isn’t a truly bewitching play although, whereas Jonbon makes limited allure at 4/1, so I’d rather discover down the field at one thing that will moreover outrun its odds.
That horse is CAPTAIN GUINNESS.
He can be a truly trim jumper on his day, as proven when striking in a flawless teach to secure the Fortria Lag at Navan on his seasonal reappearance.
He’ll deserve to step up if he’s to pass and secure a Champion Lag, but he can absolutely motive a shake-up to the placings if on-tune.
He hasn’t been gorgeous in his two starts since the turn of the one year, with the vet reporting him to be “clinically irregular” after being pulled up at Leopardstown over Christmas, then he clearly wasn’t 100% when a successfully-beaten third at the Dublin Racing Festival.
That is a apprehension, but Henry de Bromhead has a tall knack of getting horses gorgeous for the good one in March, and particularly those over fences.
You valid must discover benefit at the likes of a 10-one year-light Particular Tiara sparking benefit into life to secure this urge in 2017, adopted by Build The Kettle On worthwhile both the Arkle and Champion Lag.
The scheme this one year’s renewal is shaping up will swimsuit Captain Guinness too, as he’s at his best when settling valid in behind the leaders off a tight traipse.
QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE 1-2-3
1 El Fabiolo
2 Captain Guinness
3 Jonbon
Jonbon could maybe moreover be ridden aggressively and Edwardstone will believe identical suggestions of getting on with issues in entrance, whereas El Fabiolo won’t are searching for to be too far benefit either.
That cocktail of traipse on making an strive out ground could maybe moreover creep away the door beginning to a more patiently ridden Captain Guinness.
I will test out him picking off one or two of them up the Cheltenham hill and adore the thought of an every-scheme bet-to-nothing.
BetVictor believe a market betting without El Fabiolo, with Captain Guinness priced at 9/2, which I assume appears to be like to be adore an every-scheme bet-to-nothing.
Edwardstone is the one who’s more fancied to include the final place on the podium.
He’s 5/2 in the betting without market, which appears to be like to be very immediate for a horse who’s won valid one among his final seven starts.
Admittedly he did discover rejuvenated at Newbury final day outing, but that became a truly practical renewal of the Sport Spirit and he won’t believe it all his own scheme on this.
He carried out successfully down the field in final one year’s Champion Lag on soft ground, where Captain Guinness carried out 2d, and at the prices I’m gay to take a probability on one thing identical taking place this one year.
POINTERS
Captain Guinness w/o El Fabiolo e/w 3.30pm Cheltenham
Already advised
Captain Guinness e/w 16/1
